RESEARCH
June 2026

Gen Z’s Cigarette Renaissance Is Almost Entirely Performative, Research Finds

Kylie Jenner says smoking is back. The data says it's a prop.

After Sabrina Carpenter headlined Coachella with a prop cigarette and Kylie Jenner graced the cover of Vanity Fair smoking, new research from Ideally finds the so-called "cigarette renaissance" is a performance, not a behaviour.

37% of under-25s say people their age smoke today for "the aesthetic, it looks good in photos or on a night out," more than three times the 11% national average. 31% agreed smoking has become "a performance for social media more than a real habit.

The research, based on a nationally representative survey of 1,000 US adults, finds Gen Z is twice as likely to notice cigarettes in culture as the general population, but no more likely to actually smoke them.
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The cultural signal is real

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The visibility data tracks with everything brands have been watching. More than half of under-25s have noticed a music video or TV show featuring smoking in the past year, against 27% of the general population. 36% have seen a celebrity they follow photographed with a cigarette.

Pinterest searches for "smoking pose" are up 70% year-on-year among US 18–24s. The @Cigfluencers Instagram account has passed 100k followers. Truth Initiative recently found 70% of binge-watched shows now include tobacco imagery, up from 64% in 2022.

And just last month the Therapuss podcast, Kylie Jenner herself declared "smoking is so back."

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The behaviour signal isn't

Only 7% of Americans say they've started smoking or smoked more in the last 12 months. Among under-25s, just 10% have even considered trying a cigarette. 88% haven't picked one up.

50%+
have noticed a music video or TV
show featuring smoking in the
past year (US under 25's)
36%
have seen a celebrity they
follow photographed with 

a cigarette (US under 25's).
↑70%
Pinterest searches for “smoking
pose” are up 70% year-on-year among
US 18-24s.

The people actually smoking are millennials

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Regular smoking peaks among 35–44 year olds, where 24% smoke regularly and 33% currently use cigarettes, well above the 17% and 21% national averages.

The cohort driving cultural visibility and the cohort driving cigarette sales are not the same people.

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About the research

The report was fielded in May 2026 using Ideally's AI-powered insights platform. The survey reached a nationally representative sample of 1,000 US adults, with breakdowns by age, gender, household income, household structure, and US Census region.